Macro-economic and Topline

Vision Federal Market Forecast Study Team


This forecast team looks at the overall U.S. economic picture and develops a most likely scenario for federal discretionary spending, culminating in a defense topline forecast. It focuses on macroeconomic indicators, such as GDP growth, the federal deficit, debt/GDP ratio, and the interest rate environment.  Its DoD Topline forecast is a ten-year forecast of defense budgets involving a top down look at the DoD budget by appropriation category (e.g. RDT&E, Procurement, O&M and Milpers). The forecast includes relevant information about current DoD activities such as defense strategy and planning, an estimate of the future force structure, an investment forecast, Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) spending, efficiency savings, and changing acquisition practices. (Prior experience on another team usually is a prerequisite for participation on the Topline Team).



Team Notes

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